GENETIC PREDICTION OF FRACTURE IN A RISK-STRATIFIED POPULATION [ 2005 - 2007 ]

Research Grant

Researchers: Prof Tuan Nguyen (Principal investigator) ,  Dr Louis Esteban ,  Prof Jacqueline Center ,  Prof John Eisman

Brief description Osteoporosis is a condition characterised by excessive bone loss and impaired bone quality, which ultimately results in fracture with minimal trauma. Osteoporosis affects 27% of women and 11% of men aged 60 years or above in the community, and costs Australia around $7 billion each year. Individuals with low bone mineral density (BMD) have a significantly higher risk of fracture than those with normal BMD. In the long-term (14-year) Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study, more than half of individuals with osteoporosis (e.g., low BMD) did not sustain a fracture, while approximately 60% of fracture cases had BMD above the high risk levels. Thus, BMD alone is not a good discriminant of fracture versus non-fracture cases. It is widely known that the liability to fracture is determined in part by genes. Previous studies, including from our group, have suggested a number of candidate genes that are associated with fracture risk. The fundamental issue that this study is concerned is that how and whether genetic markers could be used to facilitate case finding. It is proposed that common variations of certain genes are associated with fracture risk independent of BMD. That is, they can identify individuals at relatively high and low fracture risk after stratification for BMD. Hence, some markers may identify those individuals likely (and unlikely) to fracture even with low (osteoporotic) BMD. Similarly, some, possibly the same, markers may identify individuals at high risk of fracture despite relatively good (ie non-osteoporotic) BMD. It is further proposed that no single gene will achieve this outcome, but rather a small set of such gene polymorphisms will provide clinically useful risk information. This effect is entirely analogous to the use of clinical risk indicators (eg, age, weight, sex, family history, etc) to assess the risk of future fracture.

Funding Amount $AUD 363,000.00

Funding Scheme NHMRC Project Grants

Notes Standard Project Grant