Data - Modelling Sectoral Pathways to Net Zero

Full description

Data and charts for figures of CSIRO's 'Modelling Sectoral Pathways to Net Zero Emissions' technical report.

To assist the Australian Government in developing a national net zero emissions by 2050 plan, the parliament requested that the Climate Change Authority undertake a review of the potential technology transition and emissions pathways in six sectors – electricity and energy, industry and resources, transport, land and agriculture, waste, and the built environment.

The two modelling scenarios analysed in this report were designed by the authority in consultation with CSIRO. The first scenario is a world tracking to a global warming outcome of less than 2°C, with Australia reaching net-zero by 2050. The second, more ambitious, scenario is a world on a trajectory to limit global warming to 1.5°C with no or limited overshoot, with Australia reaching net-zero by 2040.

Lineage: The work presented in CSIRO's 'Modelling Sectoral Pathways to Net Zero Emissions' technical report has been funded by the Climate Change Authority. The modelling undertaken by the CSIRO, Australia’s national science agency, examined several scenarios. These scenarios were designed by the authority in consultation with CSIRO. Two scenarios are featured in the report.

The data and charts supporting the report, and made available through this collection, were produced using CSIRO's Global Trade and Environment Model (GTEM), the Land Use Trade-Offs (LUTO) model, and CSIRO and the Climateworks Centre’s Australian TIMES (AusTIMES) model.

Australia’s emissions (CO2 plus non-CO2) budget for the period reflects (i) the response by Australian sectors to the global CO2 and non-CO2 carbon prices, and (ii) assumptions regarding LULUCF (land use, land-use change and forestry) emissions and carbon removal technologies.

Scenarios don’t describe what will happen, or what should happen. Rather, they explore the consequences of a set of possible actions and events in the future. As such, scenarios are not predictions, plans or strategy. Instead, they are reasoned paths or projected possibilities of a path towards net zero for Australia.